Decrease in UK milk production expected
Their combined responses suggest a decrease in GB milk production is expected over the next two years.
This is largely due to farmers intending to leave milk production, with nearly 11% stating they plan to exit the industry within two years.
It is partly offset by herds planning to expand – spring calving herds were most likely to plan to increase production, with 34% intending to expand compared to 18% of the overall sample.
In addition, around 8% of farms were considering changing their calving pattern, with more than half of these looking at an autumn pattern and only 14% considering spring.
So how do these intended changes impact the GB milk profile? AHDB Dairy has produced a production profile for 2017/18, combining milk production and calving pattern plans from the farmers surveyed.
The result is a profile that is almost unchanged in shape but sits around 3% lower than 2015/16 production. ■