Milk to feed price ratio finally starting to rise in UK
The lower the ratio, the more difficult it will be for farmers to cover their cash costs and, in particular, feed costs with returns for milk.
Over the last 5 years, the ratio of farmgate milk price# to feed price* has averaged 1.06.
Since early 2015, the ratio has been running below 1, mainly off the back of falling farmgate milk prices. The ratio hit its lowest level in at least 15 years of just 0.82 in June 2016, but has lifted slightly since this date.
The lift has been achieved from higher farmgate prices, while feed prices remained relatively stable up until August.
Defra has not yet released the September farmgate milk price. However, dairy feed prices did increase by 4% between August and September, so farmgate prices will need to lift by more than this amount to ensure the ratio continues to improve. ■