Troughing in the Rockies and Plains will bring unsettled weather to the central part of the country over the next few days.
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An area of surface low pressure will deepen over the foothills of the Rockies and develop into a powerful dynamic mid-latitude cyclone tonight.
Out ahead of this system, moderate to heavy rain showers and thunderstorms will proliferate across the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest while scattered showers and thunderstorms, some severe, initiate along a well defined cold front extending down the spine of the Great Plains tonight.
Severe thunderstorms may produce large hail, damaging straight-line winds and a few tornadoes.
Areas of heavy rainfall capable of producing flash flooding may develop over portions of eastern North Dakota and western Minnesota as well as southeastern Iowa tonight, where Slight Risks of excessive rainfall are in effect.
The leading cold front will continue to be the focus for showers and thunderstorms as it moves into the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley and Southern Plains on Saturday.
The Storm Prediction Center issued a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms for these areas which include the chance for tornadoes, strong wind gusts and hail.
This cold front is expected to slow down a bit as it moves into the Midwest on Saturday night.
This will open the door for a long duration rain event to develop across portions of the Southern Plains and Lower/Middle Mississippi Valley through Monday morning.
A Slight Risk of excessive rainfall leading to flash flooding is in effect for the aforementioned regions on Sunday as a result.
Within the cold sector of this dynamic system, a significant late season winter storm will produce heavy wet snow and strong winds from the Rockies through portions of the Northern Plains into Sunday.
A combination of heavy snow and strong winds will produce blizzard conditions across portions of the Northern Plains starting tonight.
Travel will be very difficult to impossible.
Power outages and tree damage are expected.
Significant impacts to livestock are also possible.
Prepare now for impactful winter weather and delayed travel.
Between 6-12 inches of snow are expected for much of the impacted portions of the Rockies, while 12-18 inches are likely over much of the Montana/Dakota border region as well as much of northeastern Wyoming by Sunday.
Portions of north-central Wyoming, such as the Bighorn, will likely see snow amounts exceeding 2 feet.
Blizzard Warnings have been issued for much eastern Montana, western North Dakota, northeastern Wyoming and northwestern South Dakota.
To the south of this system, very dry, warm and windy conditions will combine to produce extremely critical fire conditions across western portions of the Central/Southern Plains as well as the Southwest tonight.
Isolated dryline thunderstorms may provide the spark for wildfires over parts of eastern Colorado/northeastern New Mexico and western Kansas/far northwestern Texas.
High Wind Watches and Warnings are in effect for much of the Central Southern Plains and Southwest.
A Critical Risk of fire weather remains in place over parts of eastern New Mexico, the Texas panhandle and western Oklahoma on Saturday due to continued warm, dry and windy conditions.
Warm air will spread eastward out ahead of the Rockies/Plains system.
A nice warm weekend is in store for much of the eastern third of the country beneath an area of high pressure.
Cold air filters into the central U.S.on the backside of the winter storm.
High temperatures will be 20-30 degrees below average for much of the Northern Plains this weekend.
A building ridge in the West will allow for temperatures to rebound beginning Saturday. ■