Airbus says world will need their aircraft
According to the report, growth drivers include private consumption increasing 2.4 times in emerging economies, higher disposable incomes and a near doubling of the middle classes globally.
Emerging countries will account for over 60 percent of economic growth, with trips per capita to multiply 2.5 times for these nations. Combined with evolving airline business models and continuing liberalisation, the growing scale of air transportation will lead to an increasing resilience to regional slowdowns.
Greater aircraft range and capacity through technological developments allow airlines the flexibility to explore new business opportunities whilst maintaining focus on cost reduction.
According to the report, in the Small segment typically covering the space where most of today's single-aisle aircraft compete, there is a forecast future requirement for about 28,550 new aircraft, representing more than three-quarters of total expected demand.
In the Medium segment, for missions requiring additional capacity and range flexibility, represented by smaller widebodies and longer-range single-aisle aircraft, Airbus forecasts demand for around 5,480 passenger and freight aircraft.
For additional capacity and range flexibility,, there is a need for about 1,760 aircraft. In the Extra-Large segment, typically reflecting high capacity and long range missions by the largest aircraft types, Airbus forecasts demand for nearly 1,590 aircraft over the next 20 years.
Of the 37,390 new aircraft required, 26,540 are for growth and 10,850 will replace older generation less fuel efficient aircraft. The more than doubling in the world fleet to 48,000 aircraft results in a need for 540,000 new pilots. Airbus continues to evolve its service business to meet the needs of its growing customer base. ■