Corporate pension funded status improves by $25 billion
In October, these pension plans experienced a $25 billion increase in funded status based on a $33 billion increase in asset values and an $8 billion increase in pension liabilities. The funded status for these pensions increased from 81.7% to 83.3%.
"October was a great month for these pensions, but it may be too little too late as far as 2015 is concerned," said John Ehrhardt, co-author of the Milliman 100 Pension Funding Index.
"Overall funded status has improved by only 1.8% this year, and this would be worse if it weren't for interest rates inching in the right direction to reduce pension liabilities."
Looking forward, under an optimistic forecast with rising interest rates (reaching 4.26% by the end of 2015 and 4.86% by the end of 2016) and asset gains (11.3% annual returns), the funded ratio would climb to 85% by the end of 2015 and 98% by the end of 2016.
Under a pessimistic forecast (4.06% discount rate at the end of 2015 and 3.46% by the end of 2016 and 3.3% annual returns), the funded ratio would decline to 82% by the end of 2015 and 75% by the end of 2016. ■