Once you hit 105, aging appears to stop
The odds of dying stop rising in people who are very old, according to a new study that also suggests we haven’t yet hit the limit of human longevity.
The work shows “a very plausible pattern with very good data,” says demographer Joop de Beer of the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute in The Hague, who wasn’t connected to the research.
But biodemographer Leonid Gavrilov of the University of Chicago in Illinois says he has doubts about the quality of the data.
As we get older, our risk of dying soars. At age 50, for example, your risk of kicking the bucket within the next year is more than three times higher than when you’re 30.
As we head into our 60s and 70s, our chances of dying double about every 8 years. And if you’re lucky enough to hit 100 years, your odds of making it to your next birthday are only about 60%. ■