Scotland would vote for independence, poll shows
Christian Fernsby ▼ | August 5, 2019
Scottish voters would vote for independence from the United Kingdom, according to a poll by Michael Ashcroft. Article continues below
Asked how they would vote in an independence referendum, 46% of the 1,019 surveyed voters said they would vote for independence and 43% against. Excluding those who said they did not know or would not vote, this amounted to a lead of 52% to 48% for an independent Scotland.
"In the wake of [Prime Minister] Boris Johnson’s visit to Edinburgh last week I polled Scots to measure support for a second independence referendum and to gauge opinion on independence itself," Ashcroft, a Conservative who opposed Johnson's leadership, said.
"I found a small majority in favour of a new vote – and the first lead for an independent Scotland for more than two years," he said.
Scots rejected independence by 55 to 45 percent in a 2014 referendum but differences over Brexit have strained relations with the government in London.
The 52-48 vote to leave the EU in a 2016 referendum strained ties between the constituent parts of the United Kingdom: while Wales and England vote to leave, Scotland and Northern Ireland voted to stay. ■ What to read next
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