POST Online Media Lite Edition



 

California faces summer power outages as drought drains hydropower generation

Christian Fernsby |
California's severe drought could cut its summer hydropower generation nearly in half from 15% of the state's electricity under normal conditions to 8%, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said in a new analysis.

Article continues below




EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) forecasts for California hydroelectric generation currently rely on a simple econometric model that assumes monthly generation in the future will mimic average historical patterns.

"In our Drought case, we found that California’s summer hydroelectric share of generation mix was nearly halved, falling from 15% to 8%.

"To offset the reduction in hydroelectric generation, California purchases more electricity from neighboring markets and increases in-state natural gas generation, which rises from 45% in the Median case to 50% of total summer generation mix in the Drought case.

"In the Drought case, increased natural gas generation contributed to higher modeled wholesale electricity prices, as well as an increase in CO2 emissions.

"The analysis in this STEO supplement focuses on the drought’s effect on hydropower generation in California.

"Though the impact of drought on water-cooled thermal power plants was not explicitly modeled here, it is not expected to have a significant near-term effect on thermal generation in California."

California purchases more electricity from neighboring markets and increases in-state natural gas generation, which rises from 45% in the Median case to 50% of total summer generation mix in the Drought case.

"We found that California’s total summer hydroelectric generation (from June to September) in 2022 would fall from 13 million MWh in the Median case to 7 million MWh in the Drought case, a 48% drop in hydroelectric generation and comparable to generation in 2015 (Figure 8).

"As a result, hydroelectric generation’s share of total summer generation falls from 15% in the Median case to 8% in the Drought case (Figure 9).

"The replacement power to make up for the reduced hydroelectric generation is about evenly divided between an increase in out-of-state market purchases and in-state natural gas generation.

"In-state natural gas generation in the Drought case is 8% higher than the Median Case, with the natural gas share of generation rising from 45% to 50% of total summer generation to make up for the reduced share from hydropower.

"Given identical load between the two cases, the additional rise in natural gas generation in California leaves 2.9 million MWh to be made up by imported power.

"Although California already makes out-ofstate market purchases to meet one-third of its electricity demand, WEIM provides another opportunity to import electricity.

"The real-time nature of WEIM matches well with California’s greater need for resources that can respond quickly to the within-the-hour-generation variability characteristic of solar and wind resources."


What to read next

Natural gas to surpass coal for U.S. power generation in 2016
Solar now third largest renewable source of electricity in U.S.
New York Power Authority's Economic Development Awards to create 583 jobs

Heavy rainfall along U.S. eastern seaboard; dangerous heat wave shifting

 
A weak front with tropical moisture will be quasi-stationary over parts of the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Southeast through Sunday.
 
 

Latest

U.S. drillers cut oil and gas rigs to 584
Attorney General Ken Paxton stops Biden’s ban on liquified natural gas exports
Germany to cut Huawei, ZTE parts in 5G network from 2026
Ericsson Q2 sales down but North America up

NEWS

U.S.: Dangerous heatwave

Severe thunderstorms across portions of U.S. Central Plains and Mississippi Valley; heat continues in Southern Plains
New Delhi airport roof collapses under heavy rain
Bulgaria: EPPO charges entrepreneur with fraud involving construction of dairy facility
Switzerland: Gotthard Base Tunnel on track to fully re-open in September
Heavy rain with flooding possible in southwest U.S. and upper Midwest; heat continues in east
 

BUSINESS

Scotland secured record inward investment in 2023

Chinese seaport cities register soaring output of port economy in 2023
U.S. bankruptcies in June hit record high since 2020
Baker Hughes U.S. oil rig count unchanged at 479
EU-Kenya trade agreement comes into effect
U.S. drillers cut oil and gas rigs to 581
 

Trending Now

Attorney General Ken Paxton stops Biden’s ban on liquified natural gas exports

Heavy rainfall along U.S. eastern seaboard; dangerous heat wave shifting

Canada and Alberta supporting Alberta Beef Producers

Citroën C3 Aircross, the most affordable compact SUV with 7 seats


POLITICS

North Macedonia to take 500 million euros loan from Hungary

Under Secretary Fernandez travels to Japan and Indonesia
€10.82 billion French State aid scheme to support offshore wind energy
EU approves Lufthansa Group-ITA Airways deal, subject to conditions
Europe imposes duties on Chinese electric vehicles
Australia and New Zealand to fund critical undersea cable infrastructure for Tonga
 

Today We Recommend

U.S. bankruptcies in June hit record high since 2020


Highlights 

Ericsson Q2 sales down but North America up

North Macedonia to take 500 million euros loan from Hungary

BYD to build factory in Türkiye


COMPANIES

APM Terminals Suape advances sustainable port operations with major investment in all-electric handling equipment

BYD to build factory in Türkiye
U.S. awards Moderna $176 mln for vaccine development amid bird flu outbreak
Robertshaw to close Trnava, Slovakia plant, plant assets available for sale
DOF Group to acquire Maersk Supply Service for $1.11 billion
CureVac sells COVID-19, flu vaccines to GSK amid restructuring
 

CAREERS

Africa Finance Corporation appoints executive director, financial services

Lindemann Metal Recycling: Markus Tandel named head of procurement and aftermarket
Travis Leonard joins Lockton as CFO
African Development Bank appoints director of statistics department
Azentio expands its leadership team with two new appointments
Afreximbank announces board changes
 

ECONOMY

Eurozone reports modest Q1 GDP growth, stable annual inflation

Italy sees faster economic growth in Q1
Slovenia's economy expected to grow 0.9 pct in Q1
Italy faces deficit infringement procedure
Real GDP increased in all 50 U.S. states
Inflation continues to decline in Germany
 

EARNINGS

Lockton revenue $3.55 billion

Motorcar Parts of America Q4 sales $189.5 million
Limoneira Q2 revenue $44.6 million
Lululemon athletica Q1 revenue increased 10% to $2.2 billion
PVH Q1 GAAP EBIT $205 million
Dollar General Q1 operating profit decreased 26.3%
 

OP-ED

Micromanaging is the worst enemy of efficiency and teamwork

Niger set to monetize massive gas reserves through Saharan natural gas pipeline
Putting the brakes on EV folly that choked the market
Oil discovery in Kavango Basin may mean huge benefits for Namibians
Cape Town and Dubai battle over Africa's energy future
Is America going to lose its superpower status?
 

AGRIFISH

Canada and Alberta supporting Alberta Beef Producers

EU allocates €77 million in emergency support to farmers in Austria, Czechia, Poland and Portugal
Brazil opened its market for Australian mutton and lamb
Hong Kong suspends import of poultry meat and products from areas in Australia and U.S.
World's first: Denmark to impose CO2 tax on livestock
Finland to start bird flu vaccinations for humans, in world first
 

LEADERSHIP

Study finds workers misjudge wage markets

Some organizations may need to expand their hierarchical structures earlier than others
Study finds there's right way and wrong way to deliver negative feedback in workplace
Allyship is critical and its needs appreciation
Generating 'buzz' about new products can influence their success
Hiring 'problem directors' can knock up to 64% off firm's value
 

CRIME

Italy issues $6.4 million fine over Chinese cars badged as Italian

EU Commission fines Mondelēz €337.5 million for cross-border trade restrictions
HSBC pays penalties for alleged breaches of Consumer Data Right rules
Sanofi to settle thousands of Zantac cancer lawsuits
Former asset manager and board member of Geneva private bank referred to Swiss Federal Criminal Court
South Africa: SAP ordered to pay SIU $26m over 'invalid' Eskom contracts
 

Magazine

TRAVEL

Radisson Hotel Group debuts in the heart of Tunisia’s capital city, Tunis

Morocco’s first Radisson branded hotel opens in Casablanca
Buna channels, an unreal and beautiful part of Bosnia and Herzegovina
JW Marriott unveils Mindful Haven with opening of JW Marriott Hotel Nairobi
Sotheby's Sports Week returns with fantastic artifacts
Red Roof properties open in Michigan
 

SEA, LAND, AIR

Citroën C3 Aircross, the most affordable compact SUV with 7 seats

2025 Chevrolet Equinox stands apart with fresh looks and capability
Hill Helicopters HX50, luxury in the sky
Opel Movano becomes fully equipped camper van
Porsche Panamera, new hybrid variants
Dodge Charger, 670 horsepower of electric
 

DESIGN

Cold night, hot fire pit, cool entertainment

Embellish your home with PVC panels
You'll have to hurry if you want one of 20 new Louis Vuitton watches
Luxury duvet looks good, fells good and keeps you healthy
Vacheron Constantin, watches for life and more
Schüller kitchens, where functionality marries design
 

GADGETS

MESA/Boogie Celebrates 40-year partnership with John Petrucci

reMarkable 2, monochrome tablet for your thoughts and your eyes
OnePlus Ace 3V, first with Snapdragon 7 Plus Gen 3
ASUS Zenfone 11 Ultra, flagship with a reason
Samsung Galaxy S24 is photography powerhouse
Casette tapes are making a big comeback, and so are portable players
 

HEALTH

New Alzheimer's treatment approved by FDA

UK introduced new pregnancy prevention measures for topiramate (Topamax)
UK: People with HIV can now donate eggs or sperm to start family
EU health watchdog urges vaccinations to stem surge in Whooping Cough cases
Brazil resumes insulin production after two decades
India launches first home-grown gene therapy for cancer
 

MEANTIME

India to build first phase of its own space station by 2028

Roscosmos chief approves schedule of creating Russian orbital station through 2033
Potentially habitable 'exo-Venus' with Earth-like temperature discovered
Rare species of wild bees discovered in Berlin
SLAC completes construction of largest digital camera ever built for astronomy
Solar eclipse next week in U.S., Mexico and Canada